• Sudden flooding from 10% to 20%, in some areas of burning is likely to run debris
• Landslides that cause damage are not the most potential atmosphere
• But the threat is greater than asking people to prepare
The areas that have been burned by the recent wildfire at the Los Angeles County are at risk of floods and landslides because South California is preparing for the first significant rainfall of winter.
“The threat is high enough to prepare for a bad situation,” the National Weather Service Office in Oxnart said. Social media.
Priority forecasts said that there are now 10% to 20% chance of flooding and debris from the recently burned areas of the Pacific Polystes and Malibu and Franklin Fire. Eaton fire surrounding the Altadenna and Pasadena, Hughes fire around the Castic Lake and the fire in the Angels National Forest in the north of the bridge Clendora.
The bridge fire burned over 56,000 acres in Los Angeles and San Bernardino districts in the fall, destroying 81 structures and eight firefighters were injured.
Based on the US Geological Survey estimate, these burned areas have the greatest energy for the flow of debris, said Ryan Kitel, a weather service inspector.
“They are some of the new burns scars. They are close to communities and/or vulnerable infrastructure. And the orientation of the terrain is favorable to those areas, especially for more opportunities, more potential, for those who are over and over,” Kitel said.
The probability of flooding and debris flowing recently released on Friday afternoon is 5% to 10% forecast ahead of a day. “Although the flow of damaged debris is often not the result, the storm is still a lot of uncertainty,” the weather service said.

Animated chart works a junk flow
There are recently burnt parts Danger The heat caused by fire to damage floods and landslides makes it difficult to absorb water through the upper layer of the soil. The soil is watering, and then it starts to flow downward on the surface and takes rock and debris.
It is massive rocks that result in “muddy flows”. Types of landslides are soil flow and debris flowing.
Kitel said, “It is often the effect of not flowing in considerable debris, but it is on the table. The chance of flowing debris is “a threat that people still need to consider at least.”
“The most potential effect is that some shallow debris flows with small impacts,” Kitel added.
Time
From 4 pm to 4 pm on Sunday – the weather service forecasts have released a 24 -hour flood surveillance.
Weather Service Meteorologist Ryan Kitel said Sunday night would be a very worried time.
Flood surveillance is provided when weather conditions are favorable for flooding. “It does not mean that the flood is caused, but that is Possibility”Says the weather service.
In the recommendations of the weather service: Avoid burnt part of that period. Use sandbags to protect property. Residents who decide to stay “can store items if road access is prohibited.”

(National Weather Service)
The planned flood surveillance is not included in the mountain at Ventura County.
Heavy rains are expected in Los Angeles and Ventura districts on Saturday afternoon, and heavy rainfall is expected from Sunday to Monday afternoon to Los Angeles and Ventura districts. It is common for rain to be mild and it is raining all over the first weekend of Monday.
This is “a slow -moving storm, so it would be stubborn. It is going to hang around,” said Alex Dardy, the National Weather Service Office of San Diego. So I think this will actually add significant shower and snow.
The forecasts have increased the predictions of how much rain may occur. The adjusted forecast, falling from Canada, slightly to the west – a little more from the South California coast – is the result of a lower pressure system, which is the result of the initial expected, which will moisturize the storm.
As a result, Kitel said, “Increased concerns for debris on some burnt scars.”

(National Weather Service)
Rainfall in the hills of Los Angeles and Ventura districts are expected from 1 to 2 inches, and elsewhere from half an inch to 1 inch.
Between Saturday and Monday, Touusant Oeks and Oxnart can receive a fifth of an inch of an inch; Redonto Beach, Santa Clarida and Filmore, one -tenth of an inch; The long coast, one -fourth of an inch; And Towntown Los Angeles and Govina, one -tenth of an inch.
According to predictions, if the storm is heavy, the orange county, Ontario, Riverside, Elsinore Lake, Demicula and Coastal North San Diego County will be expected to occur at 1 to 1.5 inches. Rainfall in San Diego is 0.7 to 1 inch of rainfall and 1.5 to 2 inches in San Bernardino.
It is expected that the continuation of the dry weather in southern California will be close to rain or achievement. Oct. Most of the areas of the area have received less than 5%of the average rainfall in the water year after the 1st.
Downtown Los Angeles received 0.16 rainfall of an inch of rainfall from October 1, which is an average of 2% at this stage of water during the water year. The average rainfall of Downtown LA is 14.25 inches.
Southern California is now “extreme drought” or “severe drought” US drought monitoring.
Thundershowers chance, flood risk
Thundershowers in Los Angeles, Ventura, Santa Barbara and San Luis opbo districts during this rainfall are 15% to 25%. In addition, rainfall is likely to rain from one hour to one hour to one hour.
It is noteworthy that the rate of half -inch rainfall per hour is the starting point that debris can be triggered in the recent burnt areas. If the rainfall rates are significantly higher than that number – and if the burned area emerges directly – “there we still flow into some significant and significant debris,” Kitel said.
“Most parts will not see this serious rain, but can be expected in a few areas,” Kitel said. “It is very difficult or not impossible to correctly predict which parts will see those rates.”
Kitel said the most common rainfall throughout the region would be a ten -inch to a quarter of an hour per hour. Thus, it is necessary to rain.
Tardy said that if it rains from a quarter of an hour to one and a half inches per hour, it will result in a urban flood and water pond, which will be closed on some streets or a traffic route.
Kitel said substantial winds could blow from the south. The weekend can sometimes blow up to 15 mph to 30 mph, and can blow up to 60 mPh at the antelope valley. This may have the potential to fall into airport delays and hazardous driving conditions, including the Los Angeles International Airport.
There is also a risk of rainfall rainfall.
Snowfall
The size of the snow can decrease from sea level to 3,500 feet, and the San Gabriel mountains fall 6 to 12 inches of snow. Kitel said Kitel said 1 to 2 inches of snow in the Grebwine section of the Interstate 5 via Tejon Pass, but less or more.
Tardy said the Big Pear Lake and Ridewood could see the snow from 12 inches to 18 inches.
“Mount Baldi – This year is actually affected – two feet of snow can be obtained … perhaps up to three feet, depending on that the storm will move slowly as expected,” Tardy said.
For the most part of this storm, there will be mild snow, but there may be a period of moderate severity of the snow from Sunday to Monday afternoon, Kitel said. In the mountains, Kitel said “delays and some localized shutters”.
Tardy said it would be one of the first winter blizzards of this season, following a few inches of snow from the north from January 7.
“It will be very wide [get to an] Still low height, “Tardy said.
Other combustion areas of the forecasts track
Elsewhere in southern California, meteorologists will observe the area of 43,978 acres of land at San Bernardino County, which began in the Highlands in September and destroyed a structure in the San Bernardino mountains.
The line fire burned up to 8,000 feet above sea level, said Tardy.
23,526 acres of airport fire in the Orange and Riverside districts is also closely noticed. The airport fire, which destroyed 160 structures, burned a road through the Santa Ana Mountains and burned to the Santiago peak, which is the highest place of orange county at almost 6,000 feet above sea level.
Prolonged forecast
In February, winter storms in northern California can be seen. But the southern California may be dry at the beginning of the month, Tardy said.